On July 28, 2025, during a meeting in Scotland with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new ultimatum to Russian President Vladimir Putin: agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine within 10 to 12 days, or face sweeping secondary sanctions including tariffs on countries that continue trading with Russia. The move marks a sharp escalation from his earlier 50-day deadline and reflects growing U.S. impatience over the stalled peace process
What’s at Stake?
Trump’s tightened timeline comes as frustration mounts over continued Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities. He framed the decision as urgent:
The sanctions Trump hinted at would go beyond Russia, targeting nations helping Moscow maintain its economy—particularly in the oil sector
The sanctions Trump hinted at would go beyond Russia, targeting nations helping Moscow maintain its economy—particularly in the oil sector
Political Reactions
- Ukraine welcomed the move. President Zelenskyy called it a “clear stance… right on time” and thanked Trump for aiding in efforts to halt the war
Russia responded coolly. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov “noted” the statement but avoided outright response. Meanwhile, Dmitry Medvedev labeled Trump’s ultimatums dangerous and warned they could escalate into conflict involving the U.S
Context and Timing
The new deadline replaces a 50-day warning issued earlier in July. Trump appears to be signaling that the U.S. is prepared to act on its threat sooner, hoping to pressure Moscow into meaningful talks. His previous ceasefire efforts including attempts to broker limited pause in March had limited results
The ultimatum also comes amid third-round peace talks in Istanbul that ended without a ceasefire, though a prisoner exchange deal was reached. Russia’s refusal to compromise on key issues continues to stymie negotiations
Challenges Ahead
Analysts remain skeptical about the effectiveness of Trump’s deadline. Russia has shown little appetite for meaningful compromise unless Ukraine meets preconditions like demilitarization and surrendering NATO aspirations conditions Ukraine refuses to accept. Others warn that Trump’s unpredictable diplomacy could damage credibility more than foster peace
What Happens Next?
- Will Russia respond before the deadline?
- Are secondary sanctions credible enough to sway Moscow or its trading partners?
- Could this ultimatum shift the public debate—or merely deepen divisions among Western allies and policy makers?
Trump’s shorter deadline may increase pressure—but whether it leads to a lasting ceasefire remains uncertain.
